Rockets of Today

— my forecasts —

Maybe I can forecast some winners and losers... first, the large rockets.

Now, small rockets.

Finally, some broad overall trends.

Conclusion: Blue Origin should make a two-stage Shepard for smallsats, and Rocket Labs should add a chute to the Electron booster, and try to save it before it hits. Otherwise the smallsat business could fall into the hands of the Spaniards, aieee! (After I wrote that, I found that Bezos is indeed considering the two stage Shepard idea, and Rocket Labs announced a chute for the Electron.)

(In another how-did-I-do update, Northrup bounced back from cancelling the Omega by being awarded a big contract to build new replacement ICBMs. Who thought we needed new ICBMs??)